US Hiring Stalls Amid Economic Slowdown, Pushing Fed Toward Rate Cut

Jemy Finance Market Research Team At Jemy Trade

September 8, 2025

WASHINGTON

In a significant development that has sent ripples through global markets, the U.S. labor market showed a marked deceleration in August, with hiring numbers falling well below expectations. The latest jobs report, released on September 5, revealed that the economy added a meager 22,000 jobs, a stark contrast to the robust growth seen earlier in the year. This weak performance has intensified concerns about an economic slowdown and is prompting increased speculation that the Federal Reserve will implement a rate cut in its upcoming meeting.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report, which came in far below the anticipated 75,000 jobs, also included downward revisions to previous months’ data, painting a bleaker picture of the labor market’s health than previously thought. The unemployment rate ticked up to 4.3%, its highest level since 2021. Economists are pointing to a number of factors contributing to the slowdown, including the lingering effects of the Fed’s 11 interest rate hikes in 2022 and 2023, as well as the broad-based tariffs imposed under the Trump administration.

Sector-specific data revealed troubling trends, particularly in manufacturing, where jobs fell by 12,000 in August and have tumbled by 78,000 over the past year. This decline raises questions about the effectiveness of the administration’s industrial policies aimed at boosting the sector. On the other hand, the healthcare and social assistance industries were a rare bright spot, adding nearly 47,000 jobs and accounting for a significant portion of private-sector growth.

For the Federal Reserve, the weak jobs report is a critical piece of the puzzle. With clear signs of slack in the labor market and inflation tracking at a low and stable rate, a potential green light has been given for a more dovish monetary policy. Market participants are now largely pricing in a rate cut at the September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. This shift in sentiment has already caused a rally in government bonds, as investors seek safe haven assets in the face of economic uncertainty.

The report also highlighted a widening racial unemployment gap, with the jobless rate for Black Americans jumping to 7.5%, more than double the rate for their White counterparts. This is consistent with a historical trend where minority groups are disproportionately affected by economic downturns.

As companies become more reluctant to hire and consumer spending shows signs of faltering, the coming months will be a critical test for the U.S. economy. The focus will now be on the Fed’s response and whether its policy adjustments will be sufficient to prevent a further slowdown.

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